CoStar's 4Q In Line, 2010 Outlook Low
Commercial real estate data and service provider CoStar Group CSGP announced fourth-quarter and full-year results that were largely in line with our expectations. However, we're putting our analysis under review as we fully incorporate 2009 results into our model and update our forecasts to reflect the impact of recent acquisitions, including CoStar's $41 million purchase of a building in Washington, D.C., for its global headquarters.
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In D.C., more evidence that commercial real estate headed for foreclosure crisis
"But in commercial real estate it's a very, very long tunnel and many people will not come out of it."
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Hagerstown的房屋销售
作者：大都会梦之队
基于房地产的本地性，从本周开始，我们将以邮编为单位, 就大华府地区居家房地产的现有在售和房屋销售情况, 对具有代表性的地区进行详细地介绍。计划每二周为一期介绍一个代表性邮编的房地产情况，以期买卖方对所在地区的房地产的情况及可能的趋势有更深入、更符合实际的了解。
本期-邮编: 21740
地理位置: Hagerstown, Maryland
高中/初中: Tuscarora HS/Ballenger Creek MS/West Frederick MS
二年来，Hagerstown房屋单价从＄13０／平方英尺降到＄90／平方英尺，平均房价下降35%。自去年6月以来，从底部有所回升, 但是，回升幅度非常小。前几年，很多房地产投资者在该地区出没，其中不乏华裔。那么，Hagerstown房屋是否已经见底还是会继续探底, 让我们来看看最新房屋销售。
趋势图（２年来房产价格变化图）
最新销售情况:
21740
Homes for Sale | Jan '10 | vs. Prev. Month | vs. Prev. Year |
# Homes for Sale | 380 | -2.80% | -5.50% |
For Sale by Owner | 12 | -14.30% | -7.70% |
Median List Price | $169K | 0% | -11% |
Median List $/SqFt. | $121 | -3.20% | -8.30% |
Homes Sold | Jan '10 | vs. Prev. Month | vs. Prev. Year |
# Homes Sold | 53 | -31.20% | 82.80% |
Median Sold Price | $144K | -4% | -20% |
Median Sold $/SqFt. | $89 | -7.30% | -3.30% |
% Sale to List | 92.70% | -3.10% | -4.90% |
重要数据:
1月房屋在售 380家, 比上月下降2.8%，比去年同期下降5.5%;
业主自己销售 12家, 比上月下降14.3%，比去年同期下降7.7%;
在售房屋中间价 $16万9, 与上月持平, 比去年同期下降11%;
平均在售房屋面积单价: $121, 比上月下降3.2%, 比去年同期下降8.3%;
1月房屋卖出 53家, 比上月下降31.2%，比去年同期上升82.8%;
已售房屋中间价 $14万4, 比上月下降4%, 比去年同期下降20%;
平均房屋成交面积单价: $89, 比上月下降7.3%, 比去年同期下降3.3%;
在售房屋在市场平均天数: 121
房屋在售其间平均降价次数: 2
降价房屋占在售房屋总数的百分比: 55.4%
总体降价百分比: 11.5%
成交价对要价百分比: 92.7%
从以上的数据可以看出，可售房屋数量减少不多，已售房屋总数增加也不多，销售情况没有向好的方面发展，同时，值得注意的是已售房屋总数的增加是以房价的大幅下降为代价，房地产可能还在向下通道中，因此，我们认为该地区在利率上调时，有可能继续下滑。
大都会梦之队由大都会的具有经验丰富的成员组成, 他们助人为乐、敢想敢干、经验老道, 如果您有意购房或者有意见建议，请与REN联系(电话:240-498-2845, EMAIL: dreamteamwdc@yahoo.com, Web: http://wdcdreamteam.blogspot.com)。
北京空置写字楼50%
杰克•罗德曼在洛杉矶和东京做房贷生意。他发现中国内地已经隐约出现房地产业崩盘的苗头。自2002年以来，他开始收集北京空置写字楼的照片，目前总数已 达55幢，还有十几幢写字楼在候选名单里。“我拍这些照片是要提醒人们供给已经过多了。”罗德曼说。他今年63岁，是全球不良资产解决方案公司总裁。据罗 德曼估计，北京商用房产空置率可能高达约50%，比德国5个最大的写字楼市场去年出租的总面积还要大。
在房地产经纪商世邦魏理仕公司跟踪的103个市场中，北京去年第三季度的写字楼空置率为22.4%，排第九位。但这一比例还没包括很多马上就要完工的写字楼。中国内地的空置写字楼之所以不断涌现，也是由于地产公司用上了政府去年巨额贷款的一部分去盖楼。
欧盟商会去年11月曾表示，中国内地工厂的过度供给严重损害了全球经济，引发贸易紧张并增加了不良贷款风险。而消化泡沫破裂的过程，也将使这个2010年将为世界增长贡献超过1/3分量的经济体发展的后腿被拖住好几年。
清华大学经管学院副教授帕霍瓦内茨在接受访谈时表示，经济十年不增长的风险太大了，类似日本在上世纪90年代经历的，这绝不能被忽视。从高盛、瑞士银 行和摩根大通位于北京的写字楼向南望，有的楼空空如也，有的楼楼门上落满灰尘，大厅成了自行车存放处。据房地产公司仲量联行估计，在现有920万平方米库 存的基础上，今年还会有120万平方米的写字楼上市。而据仲量联行的数据，截至2009年底，中央商务区写字楼的空置率已达35%，创造了北京有史以来的 最高记录。
在房地产经纪商世邦魏理仕公司跟踪的103个市场中，北京去年第三季度的写字楼空置率为22.4%，排第九位。但这一比例还没包括很多马上就要完工的写字楼。中国内地的空置写字楼之所以不断涌现，也是由于地产公司用上了政府去年巨额贷款的一部分去盖楼。
欧盟商会去年11月曾表示，中国内地工厂的过度供给严重损害了全球经济，引发贸易紧张并增加了不良贷款风险。而消化泡沫破裂的过程，也将使这个2010年将为世界增长贡献超过1/3分量的经济体发展的后腿被拖住好几年。
清华大学经管学院副教授帕霍瓦内茨在接受访谈时表示，经济十年不增长的风险太大了，类似日本在上世纪90年代经历的，这绝不能被忽视。从高盛、瑞士银 行和摩根大通位于北京的写字楼向南望，有的楼空空如也，有的楼楼门上落满灰尘，大厅成了自行车存放处。据房地产公司仲量联行估计，在现有920万平方米库 存的基础上，今年还会有120万平方米的写字楼上市。而据仲量联行的数据，截至2009年底，中央商务区写字楼的空置率已达35%，创造了北京有史以来的 最高记录。
Reality Check: US Home Rental Execs Say 2010 Mkt Still Weak
NEW YORK, Feb 17 (MNI) - The U.S. residential rental market remains vulnerable to further price declines early this year amid excess supply and renters' firmer negotiating position, according to apartment managers, brokers and tenants.
Rental executives said the housing market collapse flooded the rental market with houses and condominiums that owners were unable to sell. And, as home-resale and new-home prices have fallen, renters are increasingly able to step up to a home purchase and exit the leasing market. That demand has been at least somewhat offset by one-time owners who can no longer afford to keep their homes. But the net result has been an abundant supply of rental units and substantial decreases in rent prices over the past 18 months. Concessions like a free month's rent and lower security deposits are common. Just as in the real estate purchase market, pricing is key. Ambitiously high-priced units remain on the market for months or more if their owners resist rent reductions.
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Rental executives said the housing market collapse flooded the rental market with houses and condominiums that owners were unable to sell. And, as home-resale and new-home prices have fallen, renters are increasingly able to step up to a home purchase and exit the leasing market. That demand has been at least somewhat offset by one-time owners who can no longer afford to keep their homes. But the net result has been an abundant supply of rental units and substantial decreases in rent prices over the past 18 months. Concessions like a free month's rent and lower security deposits are common. Just as in the real estate purchase market, pricing is key. Ambitiously high-priced units remain on the market for months or more if their owners resist rent reductions.
read more...
Fannie and Freddie to Buy More Delinquent Home Loans
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac said they will ramp up their purchases of some $200 billion in delinquent home loans that the two government-controlled mortgage-finance companies have guaranteed.
Those loans were packaged into mortgage-backed securities now held by pension funds, insurance companies and other investors. Fannie and Freddie are required to buy out nonperforming loans when they modify mortgages or when the loan has been delinquent for 24 months. But now they are planning to buy more loans that are 120 days or more past due.
Read More...
Those loans were packaged into mortgage-backed securities now held by pension funds, insurance companies and other investors. Fannie and Freddie are required to buy out nonperforming loans when they modify mortgages or when the loan has been delinquent for 24 months. But now they are planning to buy more loans that are 120 days or more past due.
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It's property tax assessment time. Here's what homeowners need to know.
When the envelope arrived, Cindy Branigin said, she closed her eyes and hoped for the best. After nearly 15 years in her Southern Maryland home, the arrival of her property tax assessment had become a gut-wrenching ritual. This time, Branigin said, she was pleasantly surprised. The assessment of her home had dropped by $50,000.
"That is not something you would usually wish for, but it was kind of a relief," she said.
It's that time of year again. Thousands of Washington area homeowners are receiving their property tax assessment notices from their local jurisdictions.
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"That is not something you would usually wish for, but it was kind of a relief," she said.
It's that time of year again. Thousands of Washington area homeowners are receiving their property tax assessment notices from their local jurisdictions.
read more...
Frederick的房屋销售
作者：大都会梦之队
基于房地产的本地性，从本周开始，我们将以邮编为单位, 就大华府地区居家房地产的现有在售和房屋销售情况, 对具有代表性的地区进行详细地介绍。计划每二周为一期介绍一个代表性邮编的房地产情况，以期买卖方对所在地区的房地产的情况及可能的趋势有更深入、更符合实际的了解。
本期-邮编: 21703
地理位置: Frederick, Maryland
高中/初中: Tuscarora HS/Ballenger Creek MS/West Frederick MS
二年来，Frederick房屋单价从＄18０／平方英尺降到＄120／平方英尺，平均房价下降30%。自去年9月以来，从底部有所回升, 但是，回升幅度非常小。前几年，很多房地产投资者在该地区出没，其中不乏华裔。那么，Frederick房屋是否已经见底还是会继续探底, 让我们来看看最新房屋销售。
趋势图（２年来房产价格变化图）
最新销售情况:
21703
Homes for Sale Jan '10 vs. Prev. Month vs. Prev. Year
# Homes for Sale 124 6% -8.80%
For Sale by Owner 4 0% 0%
Median List Price $250K 0.40% -9%
Median List $/SqFt. $156 1.30% 3.10%
Homes Sold Dec '09 vs. Prev. Month vs. Prev. Year
# Homes Sold 38 65.20% 171.40%
Median Sold Price $194K -14.90% 0.80%
Median Sold $/SqFt. $121 -6.90% -19.30%
% Sale to List 97.50% 0.20% -3.30%
重要数据:
1月房屋在售 124家, 比上月上升6%，比去年同期下降8.8%;
业主自己销售 4家, 与上月持平;
在售房屋中间价 $25万, 比上月上升0.4%, 比去年同期下降9%;
平均在售房屋面积单价: $156, 比上月上升1.3%, 比去年同期上升3.1%;
12月房屋卖出 38家, 比上月上升65.2%，比去年同期上升171.4%;
已售房屋中间价 $19万4, 比上月下降14.9%, 比去年同期上升0.8%;
平均房屋成交面积单价: $121, 比上月下降6.9%, 比去年同期下降19.3%;
在售房屋在市场平均天数: 98
房屋在售其间平均降价次数: 2
降价房屋占在售房屋总数的百分比: 51.9%
总体降价百分比: 8.6%
成交价对要价百分比: 97.5%
从以上的数据可以看出，可售房屋数量减少，已售房屋总数增加，销售情况貌似向好的方面发展，但是，值得注意的是已售房屋总数的增加是以房价的大幅下降为代价。在向下通道中，交易量的增加并不说明是底部的确认。因此, 我们认为该地区在利率上调时, 有可能继续下滑。
大都会梦之队由大都会的具有经验丰富的成员组成, 他们助人为乐、敢想敢干、经验老道, 如果您有意购房或者有意见建议，请与REN联系(电话:240-498-2845, EMAIL: dreamteamwdc@yahoo.com, Web: http://wdcdreamteam.blogspot.com)。
基于房地产的本地性，从本周开始，我们将以邮编为单位, 就大华府地区居家房地产的现有在售和房屋销售情况, 对具有代表性的地区进行详细地介绍。计划每二周为一期介绍一个代表性邮编的房地产情况，以期买卖方对所在地区的房地产的情况及可能的趋势有更深入、更符合实际的了解。
本期-邮编: 21703
地理位置: Frederick, Maryland
高中/初中: Tuscarora HS/Ballenger Creek MS/West Frederick MS
二年来，Frederick房屋单价从＄18０／平方英尺降到＄120／平方英尺，平均房价下降30%。自去年9月以来，从底部有所回升, 但是，回升幅度非常小。前几年，很多房地产投资者在该地区出没，其中不乏华裔。那么，Frederick房屋是否已经见底还是会继续探底, 让我们来看看最新房屋销售。
趋势图（２年来房产价格变化图）
最新销售情况:
21703
Homes for Sale Jan '10 vs. Prev. Month vs. Prev. Year
# Homes for Sale 124 6% -8.80%
For Sale by Owner 4 0% 0%
Median List Price $250K 0.40% -9%
Median List $/SqFt. $156 1.30% 3.10%
Homes Sold Dec '09 vs. Prev. Month vs. Prev. Year
# Homes Sold 38 65.20% 171.40%
Median Sold Price $194K -14.90% 0.80%
Median Sold $/SqFt. $121 -6.90% -19.30%
% Sale to List 97.50% 0.20% -3.30%
重要数据:
1月房屋在售 124家, 比上月上升6%，比去年同期下降8.8%;
业主自己销售 4家, 与上月持平;
在售房屋中间价 $25万, 比上月上升0.4%, 比去年同期下降9%;
平均在售房屋面积单价: $156, 比上月上升1.3%, 比去年同期上升3.1%;
12月房屋卖出 38家, 比上月上升65.2%，比去年同期上升171.4%;
已售房屋中间价 $19万4, 比上月下降14.9%, 比去年同期上升0.8%;
平均房屋成交面积单价: $121, 比上月下降6.9%, 比去年同期下降19.3%;
在售房屋在市场平均天数: 98
房屋在售其间平均降价次数: 2
降价房屋占在售房屋总数的百分比: 51.9%
总体降价百分比: 8.6%
成交价对要价百分比: 97.5%
从以上的数据可以看出，可售房屋数量减少，已售房屋总数增加，销售情况貌似向好的方面发展，但是，值得注意的是已售房屋总数的增加是以房价的大幅下降为代价。在向下通道中，交易量的增加并不说明是底部的确认。因此, 我们认为该地区在利率上调时, 有可能继续下滑。
大都会梦之队由大都会的具有经验丰富的成员组成, 他们助人为乐、敢想敢干、经验老道, 如果您有意购房或者有意见建议，请与REN联系(电话:240-498-2845, EMAIL: dreamteamwdc@yahoo.com, Web: http://wdcdreamteam.blogspot.com)。
Mortgage lenders pursue homeowners even after foreclosure
As terrible as it is to lose your house to foreclosure, at least it's a relief to put your biggest financial headache behind you, right?
Wrong.
Former homeowners may still be on the hook if there's a difference between what they owed on their mortgage and what the bank could sell it for at auction. And these "deficiency judgments" are ticking time bombs that can explode years after borrowers lose their homes.
read more ...
Wrong.
Former homeowners may still be on the hook if there's a difference between what they owed on their mortgage and what the bank could sell it for at auction. And these "deficiency judgments" are ticking time bombs that can explode years after borrowers lose their homes.
read more ...
visual depiction of unemployment
This is really quite incredible. A visual depiction of unemployment, by County, for the entire United States, over the last 2.5 years. Amazing to watch and only takes a minute or so.
Click the link, and then "Play" in the center of the MAP, and watch it change by month.
Click to play
Click the link, and then "Play" in the center of the MAP, and watch it change by month.
Click to play
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